“35定念嶄嗤B(y┌ng)析繁嬬薦議撹繁c析定繁議曳楕頁6曳1徽梓孚朕念議繁笥晒壅^35定@匯曳箭≫J週1曳2”(d┛ng)薦議p富才繁笥議析g晒χァ躓綴噂唳鷙頁砦議曜俚署崙業∧楜(y│n)嶷薬(zh┐n)
壓厘芙隠w狼嶄B(y┌ng)析隠U(xi┌n)w狼議(g┛u)秀頁凪嶄駅音辛富議匯何蛍。^(y┃u)議B(y┌ng)析署崙業τ旛B(y┌ng)析繁輻fo夘崛P(gu─n)嶷勣。隼遇,B(y┌ng)析隠U(xi┌n)顕w中V、撹云互壓S謹社厮(j┤ng)撹藕慌(c│i)屓議匯寄(f┫)(d─n)。壓厘,高{尢UB(y┌ng)析隠U(xi┌n)議辺秘旺音嬬M怎B(y┌ng)析隠U(xi┌n)屶竃(c│i)屓耽定脅駅鴃B(y┌ng)析隠U(xi┌n)児署M(j━n)佩a(b┳)N旺拝@Na(b┳)N壓幟定奐L。o頁l(f─)_(d│)社頁l(f─)婢嶄社脅音誼音中@匯弊順來y}。
壅蛍塘孔嬬頁B(y┌ng)析署崙業議匯(g┬)嶷勣孔嬬厘B(y┌ng)析署崙業m隼(sh┴)H貧頁匯(g┬)F(xi┐n)辺F(xi┐n)原崙業徽旺]嗤軟欺(y┤ng)嗤議壅蛍塘孔嬬。
@頁咀?y┐n)藐銚濶_慧朔厘喇噐委娼薦鹿嶄噐(j┤ng)(j━)l(f─)婢^蛍(qi│ng){(di┐o)丼楕策阻芙巷峠恠貧阻匯l(qi│ng)晒丼楕樋晒巷峠議祇揃。嶄(j┤ng)^阻個醐_慧朔源餓鉦晩吩U(ku┛)寄嶄議児鶴狼(sh┫)1991定0.282欺2000定厮_(d│)0.458奐L嫌業^寄朕念厮(j┤ng)階^H巷J(r┬n)議少巡0.41。嶄B(y┌ng)析署崙業]嗤軟欺s弌辺秘餓鉦議孔嬬犒幹耡敖耋鰕a(b┳)?sh┫)A髻
4埖20晩壓喇嶄芙親W(xu└)垪繁笥c(d┛ng)(j┤ng)(j━)冩梢侭、胆(zh┐n)待cH冩梢嶄伉CSIS麼k議“21弊o(j━)嶄B(y┌ng)析屓貨議繁笥c(j┤ng)(j━)蛍裂”H冩貧JohnJHamreCSIS(胆(zh┐n)待cH冩梢嶄伉)麼朗惹(zh┴)佩加χ析g晒}燕幣阻侮俳議n]“欺2040定嶄析定繁(sh┫)∂_(d│)欺3.97|階^隈、蟻、吭寄旋、晩云才哂朕念繁笥議才。”
Hamre緩佩嶄議麼勣販(w┫)岻匯頁初BCSISvr(sh┴)匯定r(sh┴)g頼撹議冩梢(b┐o)御ゞyl(f─)嶄〃哈軟阻嶄屓軒郊T才社W(xu└)宀議互業嶷。
(b┐o)御峺竃S广嶄竃伏楕議和週才枌議决L欺2015定嶄析g繁笥媼?c┬)某攀?5%撒2030定@匯曳箭幅崛24%撒2050定嗤除1|議嶄繁笥階^80q。遇嶄書爺議(d┛ng)薦繁笥(sh┫)楚欺2050定辛嬬払肇s18%崛35%。
l“紋f崙業原~”
ゞyl(f─)嶄〃瀕思宀RichardJackson才NellHowe戻竃少御f嶄B(y┌ng)析署崙業圻輹勣蕉湲二才巷慌何T寡喘F(xi┐n)辺F(xi┐n)原崙。1997定個醐朔社委暴I何T議T垢淫凄欺児云B(y┌ng)析隠U(xi┌n)嶄仟崙業麼勣淫凄F(xi┐n)辺F(xi┐n)原崙才(g┬)繁曜俚~。Jacksonf“F(xi┐n)辺F(xi┐n)原崙卆真F(xi┐n)嗤(d┛ng)薦乕曜俚繁T戻工B(y┌ng)析署泌惚ゞyl(f─)嶄〃音頁掲械源圍椎担r(sh┴)嶄垢繁議裏院垢Yy參屶厘(g┬)析g芙議B(y┌ng)析(f┫)(d─n)。”
(g┬)繁~頁1997定個醐朔秀羨議匯(g┬)掲械挫議盾QB(y┌ng)析署議余彴wF(xi┐n)議頁“徭厘e拙、徭厘隠嬾”議圻t。“徽万壓嶄旺]嗤載挫仇l(f─)]恬喘。暴I二I(y┬)麼、淫凄音富仟⊆唸ぷ議垢脅音垳吭蛬@何蛍~麺X。”Jacksonf“圻咀頁麿音垳吭]嗤Y署議f崙業原~。”
P(gu─n)噐“紋f崙業原~”芙親W(xu└)垪繁笥c(d┛ng)(j┤ng)(j━)冩梢侭拝冷鴬平盾f梓朕念議UM(f┬i)楕暴I二I(y┬)議T垢(1997定參朔⊆唸ぷ議T垢)(y┤ng)住垢Y議24%“@寄寄階^阻M怎麿輜輅楜悌B(y┌ng)析棋囑侭俶勣U{議M(f┬i)楕。(sh┴)H貧頁獨F(xi┐n)壓議(d┛ng)宀蛆埃査幼俳個醐念厮(j┤ng)⊆唸ぷ議垢住{p嶷B(y┌ng)析署。”
80朔B(y┌ng)幻銚薦音楱
壓臼奨蝶型仇a(ch┌n)巷望垢恬議∈屎壓才槻涛嗔匯軟怩型廖。“F(xi┐n)壓幻銚]曜俚附w匆音e(cu┛)。茅掲厘輦从徨俶勣孚倦t麿匆音湊垳吭^蹇”